In order to evaluate AnestAssist's results, it is important to understand how those results are produced.
AnestAssist calculates estimates of drug concentrations and probabilities of effects using mathematical models. These models are developed by clinical researchers. The models used by AnestAssist are taken from studies published in prominent peer reviewed journals, by well established researchers. The papers and studies corresponding to each model implemented by AnestAssist are listed in the References section below. These studies are also briefy discussed in the section Discussion of Specific Models Used.
Pharmacokinetic and Pharmacodynamic (PK/PD) model design and
development are deep and complex subjects. We present only a very
simplified high level overview below. For more detail please refer to
the many excellent
textbooks and other references that explain PK/PD modeling, and it's
usefulness with respect to clinical practice. A highly recommended
introduction for students and practicing clinicians can be found in
the textbook "Anesthesiology"
by Longnecker et al,
Chapter 39 - "Principles
of Pharmacokinetics and Pharmacodynamics: Applied Clinical Pharmacology
for the Practitioner" written by Johnson and Egan.

Figure 1
IV Drugs
All IV drugs modeled by AnestAssist are modeled using a mathematical abstraction known as a "compartment model". The phamacokinetics of many IV anesthetic drugs can be approximated by a 2 or 3 compartment model whose compartment's characteristics (volume and clearances) are empirically derived from pharmacologic studies. Such a model is shown in Figure 1. In this diagram V1, V2, and V3 are the volumes of the compartments, k12, k21, k13, and k31 are drug mass flow rates (clearances) between compartments, k10 is the elimination rate from the body, and ke0 characterizes the time delay for a drug's plasma and effect compartments concentrations to reach equlibrium (sometimes called the "biophase").
In this model a drug is injected or infused into the central (i.e. "plasma") compartment. Conceptually from here the drug then flows to the peripheral compartments, and also after a time delay (ke0) into the effect compartment. Eventually, as the concentration in the central compartment is reduced via elimination (k10) the drug present in the other compartments flows back to the central compartment and is then also removed from the system via elimination (k10). See Figure 3 below to see what the central compartment concentration looks like for a bolus of propofol.
It is important to understand that the compartments in this model do not directly represent any physiological structure. However, the drug concentration in the "central" or "plasma" compartment does represent blood concentration, and this is what is reported by AnestAssist. The "effect site" can be very roughly thought of as corresponding to the brain and central nervous system. From a clinical point of view it is more useful to know effect site concentrations than blood concentrations because by definition that is where the drug acts (not the blood). Effect site concentrations are also reported by AnestAssist. Finally and most importantly, effect site concentrations are used to estimate a drug's effect (patient response) using effect site concentration vs. patient response curves constructed from observations made in pharmacologic studies.
The volumes and clearances (flow rates) of
compartments in these models are calculated from data obtained in
pharmacologic studies where blood concentration vs time in healthy
volunteers is measured for differents doses of a drug. The volumes and
clearances are mathematically chosen to make the output of the model
fit, as closely as possible, the actual observed concentrations. In
some studies where where subjects of different ages, weights, or
genders are observed it is possible to parameterize compartments based
on these patient characteristics (covariates). Thus model output is
adjusted to an individual patient's characteristics. A good example of
this is the propofol model of Schnider (1) et al. which is parametrized
for patient age, weight, and height (height and weight used to
calculate lean body mass). See Figure 2.

Figure 2
The output of the Schnider model for different patient weights
is shown
below in Figure 3. The input dose is
constant (150 mcg bolus of propfol), and patient age is constant (50
y/o). Note the substantial patient weight dependent difference in
plasma concentrations which is what you would expect from
training and intuition. A model which did not take weight into account
would not show this difference. Therefore understanding a model's
parameterization helps you judge it's strengths (and weaknesses). See
specifics for AnestAssist below in the section Discussion of
Specific Models Used.

Figure 3
Inhaled Agents
Inhaled agents are modeled using a 12 compartment model published by Lerou et al [10]. In this model the compartments represent actual physiologic structures (tissues, organs, blood).
All IV drug models implemented by AnestAssist are 2 or 3 compartment empirical models.
Propofol
There are several well-known pharmacokinetic models for
propofol. A model published by Marsh et al [2] is
incorporated in DiprifusorĀ® (Astra-Zeneca), a commercial target
controlled infusion system for propofol. Patient weight is the only
covariate used by the Marsh model. Later studies, such as by Schnider et al [1]
incorporate age and height as well as weight (lean body mass) as
covariates. The Schnider model is displayed by General Electric (GE)
Healthcare’s Navigator Application SuiteĀ® version 1.0
AnestAssist makes available for educational purposes both the Schnider
and Marsh propofol models
Remifentanil
AnestAssist incorporates a remifentanil pharmacokinetic model derived by Minto et al [3]. This model incorporates age and weight (lean body mass) as covariates.
Fentanyl
AnestAssist includes 2 fentanyl pharmacokinetic models.
The first model included was derived in a study by Scott and Stanski [4]. Note that while Scott and Stanski found considerable correlation between age and phamacodynamics (“From age 20 to 85, the IC50 values decreased approximately 50%” [p162]), they did not find important pharmacokinetic changes with age. The parameters of this model include no covariates (i.e. do not account for weight, age, gender, etc.).
The second model included was derived by Schafer et al [5]. This model incorporates weight as a covariate
Alfentanil
AnestAssist includes 2 alfentanil pharmacokinetic models.
The first model was derived in a study by Scott and Stanski [6]. Note that while Scott and Stanski found considerable correlation between age and phamacodynamics (“From age 20 to 85, the IC50 values decreased approximately 50%” [p162]), they did not find important pharmacokinetic changes with age. The parameters of this model include no covariates (i.e. do not account for weight, age, gender, etc.).
The second model included was derived by Maitre et al [7]. This model incorporates weight, age, and gender as covariates.
Sufentanil
AnestAssist includes 2 sufentanil pharmacokinetic models.
The first model was derived in a study by Gepts et al [8]. The parameters of their model have no covariates (i.e. do not account for weight, age, gender, etc.).
The second model included was derived by Bovill et al [9]. This model incorporates weight as a covariate.
Dexmedetomidine
AnestAssist incorporates a dexmedetomidine pharmacokinetic model derived by Dyck et al [10]. This model incorporates height as a covariate (note, this study's finding of height instead of weight as a covariate may be a statistical anomoly).
Ketamine
AnestAssist includes 2 ketamine pharmacokinetic models.
The first model was derived in a study by Clements et al [11]. This model incorporates weight as a covariate.
The second model included was derived by Ihmsen et al [12]. This model incorporates weight as a covariate.
Lidocaine
AnestAssist includes 2 lidocaine pharmacokinetic models.
The first model was derived in a study by Schnider et al [13]. This model incorporates weight as a covariate.
The second model included was derived by Dyck et al [14]. The parameters of this model include no covariates (i.e. do not account for weight, age, gender, etc.).
Morphine
AnestAssist incorporates a morphine pharmacokinetic model derived by Sarton et al [15]. This model incorporates age and weight as covariates.
Midazolam
AnestAssist incorporates a midazolam pharmacokinetic model derived by Zomorodi et al [16]. This model incorporates weight and height (BSA) as covariates.
Inhaled Agents
Inhaled agents are modeled using a 12 compartment model published by Lerou et al [17]. In this model the compartments represent actual physiologic structures (tissues, organs, blood). This model incorporates total blood volume, tissue volumes, cardiac output, and ventillation rates and volumes as inputs to the system. The only patient specific input available from AnestAssist is patient weight which is used to estimate total blood volume, cardiac output, tissue volumes, and tidal volume. Respiration rate is assumed to be 10 breaths/minute.
Propofol-Opioid Interactions
Response surface models, using the interaction model of Greco et al [21], were constructed from a study of volunteers by Kern et al [18] to estimate propofol-remifentanil synergistic interactions relative to several surrogate and clinical endpoints. Johnson et al [22] subsequently clinically evaluated these models, and published modified parameters for the sedation model corresponding to an Observer’s Assessment of Alertness and Sedation (OAA/S ) [23] score of less than 2 (loss of response to prodding and shaking).
AnestAssist uses the Kern-Johnson model for OAA/S < 2 to estimate probability of sedation. This estimate is displayed for propofol. Propofol is the only IV drug modeled by AnestAssist whose effect is primarily sedation. AnestAssist uses the Kern laryngoscopy model for estimating the analgesic effect of remifentanil, and is extended by relative potency relationships to the other opioids modeled (fentanyl, sufentanil, and alfentanil).
Sevoflurane-Opioid Interactions
Response surface models, using a logit interaction model, were constructed from a study of volunteers by Manyam et al [11] to estimate sevoflurane-remifentanil synergistic interactions relative to several surrogate and clinical endpoints.
AnestAssist uses the Manyam model for OAA/S < 2 to estimate probability of sedation. This estimate is displayed for sevoflurane. Inhaled agents modeled by AnestAssist effects are assumed to be primarily sedation.
AnestAssist uses the Manyam laryngoscopy model for estimating the analgesic effect of remifentanil, and is extended by relative potency relationships to the other opioids modeled (fentanyl, sufentanil, and alfentanil).
Isoflurane-Opioid Interactions
A study by Syroid et al [20] scaled the sevoflurane-remifentanil model of Manyan to isoflurane-fentanyl using relative potency ratios. For a study population of 25 patients scheduled for elective surgery using a isoflurane-fentanyl anesthetic they found similar predictive performance as compared to Manyam's original sevoflurane-remifentanyl study.
AnestAssist uses the Manyam OAA/S < 2 model as scaled by Syroid to estimate the probability of sedation by isoflurane.
Good clinical judgement, training, and experience must always be used in evaluating
and interpreting AnestAssist's calculations. Please be aware of the following
limitations: